33W 發展不佳嚴重裸奔FW已發

t02436 · 2013-12-2 22:26

本帖最後由 krichard2011 於 2014-8-27 16:53 編輯

  基本資料
編號　　　　：33 W
擾動編號日期：2013  年 12 月02 日 22 時
　消散日期　　：2013  年 12 月05 日 00 時
　登陸地點       : 暫無
94W.INVEST-15kts-1010mb-14.2N-138.4E

麻友飯 · 2013-12-2 22:38

本帖最後由麻友飯於 2013-12-2 22:41 編輯

14.2N 138.4E
1010mb 15kts
在此反映有會員違規形式搶擾動

麻友飯 · 2013-12-2 22:43

他一開始就只打上更新中三字連圖也沒有

開梅 · 2013-12-3 00:46

可能是一時情急，先貼上來再改標題或補充圖片吧！論壇有那麼多風迷在追蹤全球的熱帶氣旋，讓它們無所遁形，人力比氣象局還多呢

丹尼兒 · 2013-12-3 08:12

如此完整紮實的結構也可以看到完整的螺旋性雲帶底層環流建立也完善許多...

小j卻連個L TD也不給....傻眼中完全就像一個TS 說不定已經達標看看小J待回會不會有所動作

t02436 · 2013-12-3 10:55

JMA:TD

krichard2011 · 2013-12-3 12:24

悄悄的JTWC已經評級這個小傢伙為Medium

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 14.8N 138.7E,
APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A COMPACT LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER WITH FLARING CENTRAL CONVECTION AND FORMATIVE
CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. UPPER-LEVEL
ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW
THAT IS BEING OFFSET BY MODERATE (10-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE REGION ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT
AT 28 TO 29 DEGREES CELSIUS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS NOT DEVELOPING THIS
SYSTEM, BUT DUE TO THE DEFINED STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM, THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.