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krichard2011|2013-8-16 10:32
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顯示全部樓層
目前螺旋算是開始有了
不過從多平掃描看起來
底層稍嫌鬆散
後期與98W間的互動值得關注
---------------------------------JTWC-------------------------------------
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 24.1N 132.2E, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA, OKINAWA. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A BROAD REGION OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION WITH A POSSIBLE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF A TUTT CELL, WHICH IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE RECENT BURST IN CONVECTION ALONG THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CIRCULATION. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WITHIN THE REGION ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
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