簽到天數: 971 天 [LV.10]以壇為家III
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jwpk9899|2013-6-2 21:53
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評級LOW 至於圖片麻 我不想發了~~
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 18.1N 66.7E,
APPROXIMATELY 570 NM SOUTHEAST OF MUSCAT, OMAN. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED BUT WELL-DEFINED
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT, DISORGANIZED
DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC, ASSOCIATED
WITH A SOUTHWEST SURGE. A 012247Z SSMI 37GHZ IMAGE INDICATED
FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC. A 020449Z ASCAT IMAGE
SHOWS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS OVER THE
SOUTH QUADRANT WITH STRONGER FLOW DISPLACED FURTHER SOUTH. THE LLCC
IS LOCATED EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS, UNDER
DIFFLUENT EASTERLY FLOW, AND IS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS. DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE SLOW DEVELOPMENT AND A
GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK TOWARD OMAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW. |
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