阿隆

阿隆

阿隆

上午對流續可觀猛爆強度30kts~果真近岸爆發始要威脅陸地?

僅管底層螺旋尚未完整,但JTWC看好短期發展已發出TCFA~預測路徑將偏南有登陸澳西之虞?

jwpk9899

BOM升格為熱帶低壓 編號10U
並且預測 將會是個爆發颱 3個時間點內飆到BOM式的Cat.3
目前BOM對澳大利亞西北部沿岸地區發出觀察報 預測在24-48小時候才會開始颳風
並且BOM預估這個周末不會造成什麼影響 但是周一開始 氣旋將明顯加強 將逐漸對澳洲西北沿海構成威脅
(The low is likely to develop into a tropical cyclone during Sunday as it begins to track towards the coast. It is not expected to cause gales in coastal areas on the weekend but gales may commence on Monday.

During Monday the system will continue to intensify and there is a high risk that it will cross the coast as a severe tropical cyclone on Tuesday or Wednesday. People in the Pilbara and Kimberley are advised to stay up to date with weather forecasts and warnings.)

jwpk9899

NRL升格為17S

BOM預測12小時內升格為澳式Cat.1 依然暫時預測強度能到澳式Cat.3
並將BOM預測中心強風圈直撲的地點 從48小時觀察報 升級為24時警戒報了
預測可能為西北沿岸帶來強風 甚至可能有洪水的發生
The low is likely to develop into a tropical cyclone late on Sunday or early on Monday as it tracks towards the coast. It is not expected to cause gales in coastal areas during Sunday but gales may commence on Monday.

During Monday the system will continue to intensify and there is a high risk that it will cross the coast as a severe tropical cyclone on Tuesday or Wednesday. People in the Pilbara and Kimberley are advised to stay up to date with weather forecasts and warnings.

桑達

JTWC路徑圖出來了〜走的似乎有點慢...顛瘋上看C2 85kts

jwpk9899

CWB色調強化雲圖  17S和96S的對流都好強烈 連白色都出現了
PS:有沒有人要去吃這兩坨棉花糖~:loveliness:

SHYUDOL

已命名Rusty  依然上看澳式C3 另外警戒區進一步的擴大了
Tropical Cyclone Rusty is moving slowly towards the coast. Gales are expected
to commence on the coast late on Sunday night or early on Monday.