king111807

  基本資料  
編號　　　　：92 W
擾動編號日期：2026 年 01 月 20 日 02 時
撤編日期　　：2026 年 01 月 22 日 20 時
92W.INVEST.15kts-1009mb-4.0N-148.0E

king111807

JMA: LPA

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 07N 146E WEST SLOWLY.

king111807

JTWC評級Low

AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6.3N
146.0E, APPROXIMATELY 356 NM WEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE NORTHWESTERN
SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20KTS), WARM
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW.
GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE INCONSISTENT WITH DEVELOPING 92W,
HOWEVER, ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE MORE AGREEABLE IN THE POSSIBILITY OF
DEVELOPMENT. BOTH DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS AGREE THAT 92W
WILL TRACK GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 17 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

king111807

JTWC撤評

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
7.9N 145.1E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.