king111807

  基本資料  
編號　　　　：99 P
擾動編號日期：2025 年 12 月 02 日 02 時
撤編日期　　：2025 年 12 月 00 日 00 時
99P.INVEST.15kts-1009mb-16.0S-156.1W

king111807

JTWC評級Low

AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 16.0S
156.1E, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM WEST OF BORA BORA. ANIMATED ENHANCED
MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA
INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28 C), AND
GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT 99P WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO
18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.