簽到天數: 2102 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
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周子堯@FB|2016-10-4 17:29
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本帖最後由 周子堯@FB 於 2016-10-4 17:40 編輯
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 15N 137.9E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 134.5E, APPROXIMATELY 650
NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH POCKETS OF CONVECTION SLOWLY
CONSOLIDATING AROUND IT. A 040526Z SSMI MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS
CONTINUED CONVECTION AROUND THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN EDGES OF THE
LLCC. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR (5-10 KNOTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND STRONG
DIVERGENCE ALOFT AS INDICATED IN THE UPPER LEVEL WIND OUTFLOW TO THE
WEST. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN SHOWING THE SYSTEM'S
MOVEMENT TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS WHILE CONSOLIDATING
AND STRENGTHENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1005 MB. DUE TO THE IMPROVED CONSOLIDATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS MEDIUM.
最近幾個小時，中心附近對流有明顯爆發
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