JTWC 重新評級為LOW

B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: AN AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS
OF TC 18P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.3S 127.9E, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EVIDENT IN
A 261411Z GPM MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGE AND IN RECENT RADAR DATA.
THE CIRCULATION LIES IN AN AREA OF MODERATE NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AS THE CIRCULATION MOVES WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, LIMITING THE POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO
20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

形成至今快12天了！

看了一下高層,VIS來看 ,風眼好像隱現了

翻翻一下之前的底層有眼建立

不過祂的移速比2006的Monica快多了. 增強強度相較很難.

BOM不在支持祂增強了

底層眼牆差不多已經重新整合完成了
但由於已經快登陸 加上可能地形的干擾
高層風眼要重新開眼的機會應該不高

眼牆似乎在重建中
環境也相當不錯 不過已經相當靠近陸地
預計明天早上就會登陸 整合時間稍短
能不能重新整合成功 這幾個小時大概就是關鍵