熱帶擾動 01F,南太平洋年度首個正式熱帶系統。 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 21/0833 UTC 2014 UTC. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 01F [1007HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 10.0S 177.0W AT 210600UTC. SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURAFCE OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES CELCIUS. CONVECTION PERSISTENT PAST 24 HOURS. ORGANISATION POOR. SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER DIFFLUENT REGION IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 700HPA. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND INITIALLY MOVE IT WESTWARDS BEFORE MOVING SOUTHWARDS WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS IS LOW. |