除了垂直風切 我個人認為會造成Nilofar變成這樣
乾空氣也占了一很大的因素
從更早之前的底層就已經隱約看得出
結構已經開始受到乾空氣的侵害
CDO已經出現了分層 內/外眼開始獨立出來
並進入了眼牆置換的階段 不過卻因為風切的關係而導致眼牆更加崩毀
不過這問題最在稍早的底層似乎有些許改善...不知是不是正在企圖重整
大致上巔峰應該已過 現正近逐漸減弱的階段

IMD 評價最大風速 100 節、中心氣壓 952 百帕，成為今年北印度洋最強風暴。

THE VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM, ‘NILOFAR’ OVER WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA MOVED NEARLY NORTHWARD IN PAST 06 HOURS, INTENSIFIED FURTHER AND LAY CENTRED AT 1200 UTC OF 28TH OCTOBER, 2014 NEAR LATITUDE 16.70 N AND LONGITUDE 61.80 E, ABOUT 1030 KM SOUTHWEST OF NALIYA (42631), 1070 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KARACHI (41780) AND 820 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SALALAH (41316). IT WOULD MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS DURING NEXT 24 HRS AND THEN NORTHEASTWARDS AND CROSS NORTH GUJARAT AND ADJOINING PAKISTAN COAST AROUND NALIYA BY 01ST NOVEMBER FORENOON. HOWEVER, AS THE SYSTEM WOULD COME CLOSER TO GUJARAT COAST, IT WOULD WEAKEN AND CROSS THE COAST AS A CYCLONIC STORM.

ACCORDING TO SATELLITE IMAGERY, THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSYTEM IS T 5.5. THE CONVECTION IS EYE PATTERN. ASSOCIATED BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LIES OVER ARABIAN SEA BETWEEN LATITUDE 14.0° NORTH TO 22.0° NORTH AND LONGITUDE 59.0° EAST TO 67.0° EAST. MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS MINUS 84 DEG. C.

THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS ABOUT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115 KNOTS. STATE OF SEA IS PHENOMENAL.