南半球的 RSMC 標準好嚴格,只有一側 30 節也不能升格。:L East of 62E, an area of moderate fluctuating convective activity is extending southwards down of 12S. To the West of this area, a tropical disturbance is centred at 1100Z near 7.5S/65.5E and moving West-North-Westward at 14 kt. MSLP is estimated at 1006 hPa. Maximum winds are estimated at 15/20 kt reaching up 30 kt, in the southern area. Suffering from moderate North-Easterly vertical windshear, potential of development likes limited. European NWP model (IFS) suggests that this low level clockwise circulation should maintain and move Westwards within the next 3 days. Development of a tropical depression is low for the next 5 days. |