這是 IMD 在 06Z 就發佈的，現在也有 low medium high 這樣的可能形成機會。

BAY OF BENGAL & ANDAMAN SEA:-
A LOW PRESSURE AREA HAS FORMED OVER NORTH BAY OF BENGAL OFF WEST BENGAL – BANGLADESH COASTS. BROKEN LOW OR MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION OVER BAY OF BENGAL, ARAKAN COAST, GULF OF MARTABAN AND TENASSERIM COAST.
THE SYSTEM WOULD BECOME WELL MARKED DURING NEXT 48 HOURS.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 72 HRS: LOW