JTWC : REMAINS LOW

(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.1N 166.1E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.5N 166.0E, APPROXIMATELY 470 NM EAST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION FLARING OVER A POORLY DEFINED LLCC. A 112301Z ASCAT IMAGE DEPICTS A SHARP TROUGH WITH A 15 TO 20 KNOT WESTERLY WIND BURST AND 15 TO 20 KNOT EASTERLY WINDS. A 120313Z AMSU-B IMAGE REVEALS A HIGHLY CHAOTIC AREA OF CONVECTION WITH NO REAL IMPROVEMENT IN STRUCTURE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY STRONG EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20 TO 30 KNOTS) AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.