取消評級

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9S
156.6E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

基本上周圍的一大片乾空氣
是它發展的一大阻礙
對流幾乎被榨乾 LLCC 呈現裸奔的狀態

只花了幾個小時
對流重新爆發 底層跟剛剛的樣子差真多
看似底層有再重新建立的樣子
不過GFS最近這幾次預報 都不再看好它的發展...
甚至可能連個TD的標準都達不到...
界下來 能增強到甚麼程度 還是要看它了

92p.Hadi 熱低壓 今天對流重整又小幅度爆發發展起來了，雖然看起來又出現了令人訝異的變化不過是乎不怎麼夠力或許是風切實在太大了。

92p.Hadi風暴減弱為TD後今天發展似乎依然不是很理想，目前它組織結構範圍部份有擴大可是卻非常鬆散未來整合可能需要不少時間。

今天的衛星看來好92p.Hadi風暴目前的結構鬆散喔，疑似過去一天發展不理想主體分開成2團了...。

評級Low

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 14.8S 170.1E,
APPROXIMATELY 503 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION
PERSISTING OVER A BROAD, UNDEFINED LLCC. A 152227Z METOP-B MICROWAVE
IMAGE REVEALS SHALLOW CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE NORTHERN CIRCLE
WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. A RECENT SCATTEROMETRY PASS SHOWS A 15 TO
20 KNOT CIRCULATION WITH WEAKER CORE WINDS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND LIMITED OUTFLOW.   
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.