升格TS的時間一延再延
再走下去可能被較涼的海水及乾空氣影響
未來能命名就已經不錯了

升格18E 不過強度只預測到TS左右

ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182013
0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 108.0W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 108.0W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 108.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.3N 108.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.8N 108.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.2N 109.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.0N 110.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 24.5N 107.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 108.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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