NHC :20%
2. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED ABOUT 1400 MILESEAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.  SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THISSYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS IT MOVESWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICALCYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS