結束了,果然發展不久 |
Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert WTPN21 Cancelled Issued at 11/1300Z WTPN21 PHNC 111300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110851Z JUN 12// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 110900)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 110.8W HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 111102Z SSMI IMAGE INDICATE SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN INCREASINGLY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. THIS CANCELS REF A.// NNNN 悲劇了 93E快要被他旁邊的鋒面氣旋吞掉了 準備跟他Say Good Bye~ |
真快, 已經TCFA了, 未來48小時TC形成機率約60% |
發展得不錯 MEDIUM 1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE... 30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. |