JTWC FW

REMARKS:
300900Z POSITION NEAR 11.7N 78.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B (THANE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM SOUTHWEST
OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS MADE LANDFALL AND TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
RAPIDLY WARMING CONVECTIVE TOPS AND FEEDER BANDS SIGNIFICANTLY
UNRAVELED AND FRAGMENTED. THE INITIAL POSITION WAS BASED ON ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND RECENT RADAR REFLECTIVITY IMAGES FROM
CHENNAI. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WAS EXTRAPOLATED FROM NEARBY SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS AND FROM RECENT RADAR BASE VELOCITY PRODUCTS FROM
CHENNAI. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DECAY DUE TO LAND
INTERACTION AND DISSIPATE BY TAU 12. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON
THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN).  
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN


希望別造成太大的災情

印度洋目前是南北雙煞的組合，南北半球各有一個熱帶氣旋在進行中：

即將要登陸了，很明顯看的到風眼


80kts 963mb

暫時緯度還低 (3.9N), 風切中等, 要發展還要等一段時間

但值得注意的是:

THERE IS ENHANCED WESTERLY FLOW
TO THE SOUTH OF THE LLCC DUE TO ENHANCED EQUATORIAL WESTERLY FLOW
ASSOCIATED WITH TWIN CYCLONIC CIRCULATIONS OVER THE TROPICAL INDIAN
OCEAN. THE TWO CYCLONES BEING THIS SUSPECT AREA AND ANOTHER SUSPECT
AREA OVER THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN WHICH IS DISCUSSED IN PARA 2.B.

位於南半球的95S加強了92B以南的西風

EC看好他的發展  圖為+120小時的(似乎是巔峰)