本帖最後由 frintezza 於 2011-12-29 11:43 編輯 03S東移回到海上, JTWC再次發出TCFA 再增強的話應該還是叫03S Grant ? 最新: 29日早上, JTWC降格為medium, 因為高層條件較差, LLCC呈狹長狀 "DUE TO THE UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS AND ELONGATED LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO MEDIUM." |
真的撞到掛掉了 Tropical Cyclone 03S (Grant) Warning #05 Final Warning Issued at 27/0300Z FW了 |
ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/211800Z-221800ZDEC2011// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.5S 134.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.1S 132.5E, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING AROUND A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT HAS BEEN EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER THE ARAFURA SEA. THE 211200Z PGTW UPPER-LEVEL STREAMLINE ANALYSIS SHOWS A POINT SOURCE OF DIFFLUENCE DIRECTLY OVER THE LLCC. THE ENVIRONMENT IS HIGHLY FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINED DEVELOPMENT, WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, SUBSTANTIAL DEEP MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN, AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN EXCESS OF 30 DEGREES CELSIUS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. DUE TO THE HIGHLY FAVORABLE UPPER- AND LOWER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENTS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.// NNNN |
被評為LOW的好像是92P耶~ 94S在澳洲北方陸地附近 |