(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 10.8N 146.7E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N
146.7E, APPROXIMATELY 198 NM SE OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHWESTERN
QUADRANT. A 111809Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES SHALLOW
BANDING OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE WITH A WEAKLY DEFINED CENTER. A
120004Z ASCAT-C IMAGE REVEALS 10-15 KNOT SOUTHERLY WINDS OVER THE
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE
IS LOCATED UNDER SOUTHERLY FLOW ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF AN
UPPER-LEVEL LOW WITH MODERATE TO STRONG (20 TO 25 KNOTS) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AS THE
SYSTEM DRIFTS NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS WITH PERSISTENT
MARGINAL CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
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