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發佈時間: 2021-3-22 12:03

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基本資料   編號    :96 P 擾動編號日期:2021 年 03 月 22 日 11 時 撤編日期  :2021 年 03 月 23 日 19 時 96P.INVEST.15kts-996mb-17S-173W

老農民版夜神月 發表於 2021-3-23 12:44
FNMOC撤編,SSD分析卻提升至T1.5
TXPS24 KNES 230101
TCSWSP

A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (96P)

B.  22/2330Z

C.  20.8S

D.  168.2W

E.  FIVE/GOES-W

F.  T1.5/1.5

G.  IR/EIR/VIS

H.  REMARKS...SYSTEM IS CHARACTERIZED BY SPIRAL LOOSELY-DEFINED CLOUDS
LINES WITH A CENTER APPARENTLY JUST UNDER A LARGE COLD OVERCAST RESULTING
IN A DT OF 1.5. MET AND PT=1.5. FT IS BASED ON MET DUE TO UNCERTAINTY
OF LLCC POSITION.

I.  ADDL POSITIONS

    NIL


...KONON

20210323.042031.SH962021.abi.goes-17.Visible.20kts.100p0.1p0.jpg 20210322.233000.SH962021.imerg.GPM.Rain.20kts.33p5.1p0.jpg
20210323.042031.SH962021.abi.goes-17.WV.20kts.100p0.1p0.jpg
老農民版夜神月 發表於 2021-3-23 03:13
SSD開始分析,18Z分析T1.0;JTWC18Z則定強20KT
TXPS24 KNES 221825
TCSWSP
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (96P)
B. 22/1730Z
C. 20.5S
D. 169.4W
E. THREE/GOES-W
F. T1.0/1.0
G. IR/EIR/SWIR/VIS/SSMIS
H. REMARKS...SLIGHTLY MORE THAN 2/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 1.0. MET
AND PT ARE ALSO 1.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
22/1548Z 20.3S 169.8W SSMIS
...COVERDALE
96P INVEST 210322 1800 21.5S 169.8W SHEM 20 1007

20210322.1810.himawari-8.vis.96P.INVEST.20kts.1008mb.20.3S.170.7W.100pc.jpg 20210322.1548.f18.91pct91h91v.96P.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.20.8S.172.2W.100pc.jpg

20210322.1548.f18.91h.96P.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.20.8S.172.2W.100pc.jpg 96P_tracks_latest (1).png
96P_gefs_latest (7).png
老農民版夜神月 發表於 2021-3-22 22:15
性質存疑的系統,JTWC暫時定為DB(擾動)
96P INVEST 210322 1200 20.8S 172.2W SHEM 15 1010
sh962021 INVEST 20210322  1200 -20.8 -172.2 P DB 15 1010
96P.INVEST.20kts.1007mb.20.8S.172.2W
20210322.1330.himawari-8.ir.96P.INVEST.20kts.1007mb.20.8S.172.2W.100pc.jpg 20210322.1237.n20.165bt.96P.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.19.6S.172.2W.100pc.jpg
96P_gefs_latest (6).png

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