目前看來，能起死回生的機率已是非常之低

JTWC0930Z取消評級

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 10.8S 90.8E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

最新風場已不再支持其擁有TD強度,JTWC18Z降其為DB

95S INVEST 210326 1800 10.4S 90.4E SHEM 20 1004

SH, 95, 2021032612,   , BEST,   0, 109S,  908E,  25, 1003, TD,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1006,  150,  60,   0,   0,   S,   0,    ,   0,   0,     INVEST, S,
SH, 95, 2021032618,   , BEST,   0, 104S,  904E,  20, 1004, DB,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1006,  140,  50,   0,   0,   S,   0,    ,   0,   0,     INVEST, S,

縱使評級遭降為Low，JTWC仍持續在分析，03Z維持Too Weak

TPXS10 PGTW 260254

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 95S (W OF COCOS ISLAND)

B. 26/0215Z

C. 10.53S

D. 90.97E

E. FIVE/GOES-IO

F. N/A

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. THIS SYSTEM IS TOO WEAK TO
CLASSIFY.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE


   YOUNG

對流有減弱的跡象，JTWC18Z分析Too Weak,評級則維持在Medium

TPXS10 PGTW 251809

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 95S (W OF COCOS ISLANDS)

B. 25/1715Z

C. 11.92S

D. 92.34E

E. FIVE/GOES-IO

F. N/A

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. THIS SYSTEM IS TOO WEAK TO CLASSIFY.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
   25/1255Z  11.93S  92.27E  SSMS


   YOUNG

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.7S 91.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9S 92.2E, APPROXIMATELY 273
NM WEST OF COCOS ISLAND, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 251045Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICT
MARGINAL LOWER LEVEL TURNING WITH TWO DISTINCT POCKETS OF DEEP
CONVECTION OBSCURING THE BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). 95S IS
CURRENTLY IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MINIMAL
POLEWARD OUTFLOW, WARM (29 TO 28 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES,
AND LOW TO MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS).
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT 95S WILL REMAIN QUASI-
STATIONARY WITH OVER THE NEXT 24HRS WITH NO INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.