JTWC09Z發佈Final Warning
WTXS32 PGTW 140900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FARAJI) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FARAJI) WARNING NR 019   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   140600Z --- NEAR 20.4S 77.6E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.4S 77.6E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   141800Z --- 20.4S 75.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
140900Z POSITION NEAR 20.4S 77.1E.
14FEB21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FARAJI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1005
NM EAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
WITH ISOLATED WEAK CONVECTION DISPLACED WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST DUE TO
THE STRONG NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED
WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE EXPOSED CIRCULATION IN ANIMATED
VISIBLE IMAGERY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 30 KNOTS WITH
HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON A 140233Z METOP-A SCATTEROMETER PASS WHICH
INDICATED AN ISOLATED PATCH OF 30 KNOT WINDS IN THE SOUTHEAST
QUADRANT AND LESS THAN 20 KNOTS IN THE OTHER THREE QUADRANTS. HAVING
DISSIPATED BELOW WARNING CRITERIA DUE TO THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF DRY
AIR ENTRAINMENT, NORTHWESTERLY CONVERGENT FLOW ALOFT, AND PERSISTENT
MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VWS, THE REMNANTS OF TC 19S WILL CONTINUE
TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW
TO MID-LEVEL STR LOCATED TO THE SOUTH BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
REDEVELOP. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
140600Z IS 16 FEET.//
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JTWC06Z降格TD

19S FARAJI 210214 0600 20.4S 77.6E SHEM 30 1007