1. A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing a small
area of showers. This system has moved over colder waters and
further development is unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
1. An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing a small
area of showers. This system has moved over colder waters and
further development is unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
1. An elongated area of low pressure stretches from a few hundred miles
south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
southwestward several hundred miles. The northeastern portion of the
trough has slowly organized during the past couple of days and is
producing persistent shower and thunderstorm activity.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
development and a tropical depression is likely to form during the
next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward or
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The system is forecast to move over
colder waters over the weekend and further development is unlikely
after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.