1. A small area of low pressure located about 200 miles northeast of
Bermuda is producing showers and thunderstorms well to the southeast
of the center. Only a small decrease in the upper level winds could
result in the formation of a tropical depression in the next day or
so. However, by Saturday upper-level winds are forecast to increase
even further, making conditions unfavorable for tropical cyclone
formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
2. A trough of low pressure, located several hundred miles south of
Bermuda, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some
development of the disturbance is possible during the next couple of
days while the system moves northward, and a tropical depression
could form by Thursday. Afterward, upper-level winds are forecast
to become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. Interests
in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system, and areas of
heavy rainfall are likely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent
3. A trough of low pressure, located several hundred miles
south-southeast of Bermuda, is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some gradual development of the disturbance is
possible during the next couple of days. Afterward, upper-level
winds are forecast to become less favorable for tropical cyclone
formation. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this
disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.