(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W), PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 3.2N 157.2E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 3.2N
157.2E, APPROXIMATELY 405 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 280451Z GMI 89GHZ PARTIAL
MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT AN ELONGATED AND DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION. A 272330Z ASCAT PASS
SHOWS STRONGER WINDS LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE LLC AND AN
ELONGATED CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE TO STRONG
(15-25 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-30 CELSIUS) IN THE SURROUNDING WATERS
SUPPORT FUTURE DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE WITH MAINTAINING
MAINTAINING SLOW WESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT OVER THE NEXT
48-72 HOURS WITH MIMIMAL DEVELOPMENT UNTIL AFTER 96 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS
HOURS IS LOW.
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