JTWC評級Low

B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 2.8N
155.0E, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION. A 250936Z GPM
89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS THE LLCC WITH POCKETS OF CONVECTION NEAR
THE CENTER WITH SHALLOW FRAGMENTED BANDING PRESENT. THE DISTURBANCE
IS CURRENTLY IN AN AREA WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE, LOW VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (5-15 KNOTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-31
CELSIUS). HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM LACKS SUFFICIENT POLEWARD DISPLACEMENT
AND IS UNLIKELY TO DEVELOP AS IT TRACKS GENERALLY WESTWARD OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.