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01S.Dahlia 印尼海域短時間內再迎命名氣旋

查看數: 22152 評論數: 11 收藏 0切换到帖子模式
    組圖打開中,請稍候......
發佈時間: 2017-11-23 22:29

正文摘要:

本帖最後由 霧峰追風者 於 2018-3-27 15:07 編輯   二級熱帶氣旋   編號:03 U ( 96 S ) 名稱 : Dahlia 以上資料來自:BoM、BMKG、JTWC、颱風論壇整理製作 ...

Meow 發表於 2017-12-2 11:09
查帕卡仍在西南側,繼續干擾Dahlia發展。
20171202.0200.himawari8.x.vis2km.01SDAHLIA.50kts-993mb-109S-1108E.100pc.jpg
Meow 發表於 2017-11-29 20:11
本帖最後由 Meow 於 2017-11-29 20:32 編輯

BMKG忙翻了,好不容易6小時前降Cempaka到TD,現在又命名Dahlia。
IDJ22001.gif
SITUATION
At 12:00 UTC Tropical Cyclone DAHLIA 998 hPa was within 30 nautical miles of 8,5 S 100,8 E moving west at 2 knots.

FORECAST
Clockwise winds reaching 35 knots expected to decrease to 45 knots in the next 24 hours.
High seas may exceed Rough to Very Rough scale and rising swell.

00:00 UTC 30 November:  Within 60 nautical miles of 8,8 S 100,6 E
                        Central pressure 996 hPa.
                        Wind speed reaching 40 knots near centre.
12:00 UTC 30 November: Within 90 nautical miles of 9,4 S 102,2 E
                        Central pressure 995 hPa.
                        Wind speed reaching 45 knots near centre.
t02436 發表於 2017-11-28 18:25
BoM開始發報,展望中已編號03U。
A second tropical low (03U lies north of the region near 7.6S 98.6E. It is expected to move generally southeast during the next few days, and it may develop as it does so, possibly reaching tropical cyclone intensity from Thursday. Its likely to enter the Western Region, to the south of Java on Friday.
From Thursday the system may move close to Christmas Island leading to a period of gusty winds, increased shower and thunderstorm activity and rough seas.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Wednesday:Very Low
Thursday: Low
Friday:High

IDW60284.png

20171128.0950.himawari-8.ircolor.96S.INVEST.25kts.1004mb.8.2S.99.5E.100pc.jpg

本平台僅供學術討論之用,預報應以氣象局為準

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