基本資料 編號 :99 W 擾動編號日期:2017 年 09 月 19 日 00 時 撤編日期 :2017 年 09 月 20 日 21 時 99W INVEST 170918 1200 8.6N 148.3E WPAC 15&n ...
評級LOW ABPW10 PGTW 192200 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/192200Z-200600ZSEP2017// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.7N 144.2E, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS INCREASED AND CONSOLIDATING CONVECTION AROUND A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS MODERATELY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT ALONG WITH FAVORABLE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE (10-15 KNOTS) FOR DEVELOPMENT. NUMERICAL MODELS INDICATE THAT THIS AREA WILL REMAIN WEAK AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE AS IT TRAVELS WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA TO PARA 1.B.(1) AS LOW.// NNNN |
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