JMA 06Z取消GW

熱帯低気圧
平成28年11月04日16時15分 発表

<04日15時の実況>
大きさ        -
強さ        -
熱帯低気圧
存在地域        小笠原近海
中心位置        北緯 22度00分(22.0度)
東経 148度00分(148.0度)
進行方向、速さ        東北東 30km/h(15kt)
中心気圧        1000hPa

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 22N 148E ENE 15 KT.

JTWC把99WTCFA取消，同時也把平級降到Medium

1. THIS CANCELS REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 012300). THE AREA OF
CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 145.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR
17.0N 144.7E, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM NORTH OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 022108Z MHS
NOAA-18 89GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT A PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND ELONGATED
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP FLARING CONVECTION OVER
THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE LLCC. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN A
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT, MODERATE
(15-20KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH HIGHER VALUES TO THE NORTH
(30KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE
MIXED WITH DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS TO THE NORTHWEST
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. IN VIEW
OF THE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO MEDIUM.//

您好：
我們11/9~11/14 到日本旅行
是否會被米雷颱風以及99w有所影響呢？

現在，感覺90W有可能會把99W吃掉，GFS等各數值預報也有一點趨勢

JTWC 23Z發布TCFA