正宜27

jma預測24小時後增強為T.D

t02436

JTWC評級Low

(2)  AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST AREA 92W) HAS PERSISTED
NEAR 11.8N 164.4E, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN
ATOLL. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
FRAGMENTED FORMATIVE BANDING BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO A DEVELOPING LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SCATTEROMETRY INDICATES THIS DISTURBANCE
IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH, WHICH EXTENDS EASTWARD TO THE
MARSHALL ISLANDS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS
IN A GENERALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (05-10 KNOTS) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
IS INDICATED IN SOME OF THE GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS
IS LOW.

渦度和91W都有泛白跡象...