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98P 中心裸露

簽到天數: 961 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

2020-3-25 09:08 | 顯示全部樓層
  基本資料  
編號    :98 P
擾動編號日期:2020 03 25 08
撤編日期  :2020 04 04 23

98P INVEST 200325 0000 10.0S 143.0E SHEM 15 1010
090507ztqukz8e8isf04ms.jpg

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參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 2020擾動搶樓 +1 收起 理由
king111807 + 15 + 1 熱帶擾動首帖

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簽到天數: 961 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2020-3-28 14:37 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC於28/0600Z評級Low
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.8N
142.6E, APPROXIMATELY 287 NM WEST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS ISOLATED POCKETS OF
FLARING CONVECTION DEVELOPING AROUND AN AREA OF LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING
EVIDENT IN A 272250Z ASCAT-A PASS. 98P IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT, WITH EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE (10-20 KNOTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (30 TO 31 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT 98P WILL
MOVE VERY SLOWLY EASTWARD TO SOUTHEASTWARD WITH MINIMAL DEVELOPMENT
IN THE NEAR TERM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

20200328.0600.himawari-8.vis.98P.INVEST.15kts.1007mb.9.8S.142.6E.100pc.jpg 20200328.0540.f16.ir.olsircomp.98P.INVEST.x.jpg
98P_gefs_latest.png
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[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2020-4-3 14:15 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2020-4-3 14:42 編輯

LLCC已近乎全裸,JTWC03/0600Z撤評
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 8.5S 145.6E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
abpwsair.jpg
sfcplot_98P_latest.png 未命名.png
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