開啟輔助訪問
 找回密碼
 立即加入

22S.Joaninha 巔峰達C4 加速南下

簽到天數: 1650 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

2019-3-14 06:05 | 顯示全部樓層
  強烈熱帶氣旋  
編號:13-20182019 ( 22 S )
名稱:Joaninha

  基本資料  
擾動編號日期:2019 03 14 05
JTWC升格日期:2019 03 22 08
命名日期  :2019 03 22 17
撤編日期  :2019 03 00 00
登陸地點  :

  巔峰時期資料  
近中心最大風速:
法國留尼旺氣象局 ( MFR ):100 kt
聯合颱風警報中心 (JTWC):115 kts ( Cat.4 )
海平面最低氣壓:939 百帕

  過去路徑圖  


  擾動編號資料  
93S INVEST 190313 1800 10.3S 70.9E SHEM 15 0

79_90766_62386588ed1fc4f.png

以上資料來自:MFR、JTWC、颱風論壇整理製作

評分

參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 +1 收起 理由
t02436 + 15 + 1

查看全部評分

回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 868 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

jrchang5|2019-3-28 09:32 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 jrchang5 於 2019-3-28 10:19 編輯

強度繼26/12Z達到巔峰後,於27/18Z至28/00Z又攀上二巔(MFR:939hpa、100kts;JTWC:941hpa、115kts)。
MFR:
WTIO31 FMEE 261322
CMRS / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION
BULLETIN D'ANALYSE ET DE PREVISION CYCLONIQUE (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN)
0.A NUMERO DU BULLETIN : 21/13/20182019
1.A CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE 13 (JOANINHA)
2.A POSITION A 1200 UTC LE 26/03/2019 :
DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 19.5 S / 64.8 E
(DIX-NEUF DEGRES CINQ SUD ET SOIXANTE QUATRE DEGRES HUIT EST)
DEPLACEMENT: EST-SUD-EST 6 KT
3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK: 6.0/6.0/D 0.5/12 H
4.A PRESSION AU CENTRE: 942 HPA
5.A VENT MAX (MOYEN/10 MN): 100 KT
RAYON DES VENTS MAXIMAUX (RVM): 37 KM
6.A EXTENSION DES VENTS PAR QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 330 SE: 370 SO: 260 NO: 220
34 KT NE: 220 SE: 310 SO: 220 NO: 190
48 KT NE: 130 SE: 200 SO: 130 NO: 130
64 KT NE: 90 SE: 90 SO: 90 NO: 90
7.A COTE/DIAM PREMIERE ISOBARE FERMEE: 1008 HPA / 700 KM
8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DE LA CIRCULATION CYCLONIQUE: PROFONDE
1.B PREVISIONS:
12H: 27/03/2019 00 UTC: 20.2 S / 65.6 E, VENT MAX= 105 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
INTENSE
24H: 27/03/2019 12 UTC: 20.6 S / 66.2 E, VENT MAX= 095 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
INTENSE
36H: 28/03/2019 00 UTC: 21.1 S / 66.7 E, VENT MAX= 085 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
INTENSE
48H: 28/03/2019 12 UTC: 21.8 S / 67.0 E, VENT MAX= 075 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
INTENSE
60H: 29/03/2019 00 UTC: 22.8 S / 67.4 E, VENT MAX= 065 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
72H: 29/03/2019 12 UTC: 24.0 S / 67.9 E, VENT MAX= 055 KT, FORTE TEMPETE
TROPICALE
2.B TENDANCE ULTERIEURE:
96H: 30/03/2019 12 UTC: 26.7 S / 69.1 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, DEPRESSION
POST-TROPICALE
120H: 31/03/2019 12 UTC: 28.3 S / 68.6 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, DEPRESSION
POST-TROPICALE
2.C COMMENTAIRES:
T=CI=6.0-
WTIO31 FMEE 280023
CMRS / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION
BULLETIN D'ANALYSE ET DE PREVISION CYCLONIQUE (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN)
0.A NUMERO DU BULLETIN : 27/13/20182019
1.A CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE 13 (JOANINHA)
2.A POSITION A 0000 UTC LE 28/03/2019 :
DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 20.7 S / 67.4 E
(VINGT DEGRES SEPT SUD ET SOIXANTE SEPT DEGRES QUATRE EST)
DEPLACEMENT: SUD-EST 3 KT
3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK: 6.0/6.0/S 0.5/0 H
4.A PRESSION AU CENTRE: 939 HPA
5.A VENT MAX (MOYEN/10 MN): 100 KT
RAYON DES VENTS MAXIMAUX (RVM): 37 KM
6.A EXTENSION DES VENTS PAR QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 310 SE: 440 SO: 370 NO: 240
34 KT NE: 220 SE: 280 SO: 220 NO: 190
48 KT NE: 140 SE: 190 SO: 140 NO: 140
64 KT NE: 90 SE: 110 SO: 90 NO: 90
7.A COTE/DIAM PREMIERE ISOBARE FERMEE: 1009 HPA / 900 KM
8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DE LA CIRCULATION CYCLONIQUE: PROFONDE
1.B PREVISIONS:
12H: 28/03/2019 12 UTC: 21.4 S / 67.5 E, VENT MAX= 095 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
INTENSE
24H: 29/03/2019 00 UTC: 22.1 S / 67.6 E, VENT MAX= 085 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
36H: 29/03/2019 12 UTC: 23.0 S / 67.9 E, VENT MAX= 075 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
48H: 30/03/2019 00 UTC: 24.1 S / 68.1 E, VENT MAX= 065 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
60H: 30/03/2019 12 UTC: 25.2 S / 68.0 E, VENT MAX= 055 KT, FORTE TEMPETE
TROPICALE
72H: 31/03/2019 00 UTC: 26.6 S / 67.8 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, DEPRESSION
POST-TROPICALE
2.B TENDANCE ULTERIEURE:
96H: 01/04/2019 00 UTC: 31.1 S / 66.8 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, DEPRESSION
POST-TROPICALE
120H: 02/04/2019 00 UTC: 34.5 S / 65.1 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, DEPRESSION
POST-TROPICALE
2.C COMMENTAIRES:
T=CI=6.0-

SWI_20182019.png


JTWC:
sh222019.19032600.gif sh222019.20190327200726.gif 20190327.1800.msg1.x.ir1km_bw.22SJOANINHA.115kts-942mb-205S-671E.100pc.jpg 20190328.0000.msg1.x.ir1km_bw.22SJOANINHA.115kts-942mb-207S-672E.100pc.jpg index.gif 索引.gif





評分

參與人數 1水氣能量 +20 收起 理由
t02436 + 20

查看全部評分

回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 1650 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2019-3-26 02:54 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2019-3-26 22:16 編輯

MFR2518Z升JOANINHA為強烈熱帶氣旋,為西南印度洋2018到2019年熱帶氣旋季內第9個ITC級氣旋
FKIO20 FMEE 251826
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20190325/1826Z
TCAC: REUNION
TC: JOANINHA
ADVISORY NR: 2019/14
OBS PSN: 25/1800Z S1824 E06313
CB: WI 120NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL550
MOV: ESE 05KT
C: 955HPA
MAX WIND: 90KT
FCST PSN +6 HR: 26/0000Z S1852 E06336
FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 90KT
FCST PSN +12 HR: 26/0600Z S1920 E06400
FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 90KT
FCST PSN +18 HR: 26/1200Z S1945 E06424
FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 90KT
FCST PSN +24 HR: 26/1800Z S2008 E06449
FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 90KT

SWI_20182019326.png
JTWC12Z定強則為C3,105節
22S JOANINHA 190325 1200 18.3S 62.9E SHEM 105 944

18Z維持定強,仍為105節
22S JOANINHA 190325 1800 18.5S 63.2E SHEM 105 944

20190325.1000.msg1.x.vis1km_high.22SJOANINHA.105kts-944mb-183S-629E.100pc.jpg 20190325.1403.f17.91pct91h91v.22S.JOANINHA.105kts.944mb.18.3S.62.9E.050pc.jpg
20190325.1403.f17.91hw.22S.JOANINHA.105kts.944mb.18.3S.62.9E.050pc.jpg 20190325.1703.metopa.89h.22S.JOANINHA.105kts.944mb.18.3S.62.9E.100pc.jpg
20190325.1703.metopa.89rgb.22S.JOANINHA.105kts.944mb.18.3S.62.9E.100pc.jpg 20190325.1703.metopa.rain.22S.JOANINHA.105kts.944mb.18.3S.62.9E.100pc.jpg


回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 868 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

jrchang5|2019-3-24 10:50 | 顯示全部樓層
MFR判定24/00Z升格為熱帶氣旋,近中心最大風速達65kts。
ZCZC 309
WTIO30 FMEE 240012 RRA
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 11/13/20182019
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 13 (JOANINHA)
2.A POSITION 2019/03/24 AT 0000 UTC:
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.0 S / 61.8 E
(SEVENTEEN    DECIMAL ZERO   DEGREES SOUTH AND
SIXTY ONE    DECIMAL EIGHT   DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: SOUTH 2 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 4.5/4.5/D 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 977 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 65 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): 56 KM
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 330 SE: 370 SW: 250 NW: 130
34 KT NE: 190 SE: 220 SW: 190 NW: 90
48 KT NE: 120 SE: 130 SW: 120 NW: 80
64 KT NE: 60 SE: 60 SW: 60 NW: 60
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1100 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2019/03/24 12 UTC: 17.4 S / 61.7 E, VENT MAX= 075 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
24H: 2019/03/25 00 UTC: 17.8 S / 61.7 E, VENT MAX= 085 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
36H: 2019/03/25 12 UTC: 18.3 S / 62.0 E, VENT MAX= 085 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
48H: 2019/03/26 00 UTC: 19.1 S / 62.7 E, VENT MAX= 080 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
60H: 2019/03/26 12 UTC: 19.8 S / 63.8 E, VENT MAX= 070 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
72H: 2019/03/27 00 UTC: 20.3 S / 65.0 E, VENT MAX= 060 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
96H: 2019/03/28 00 UTC: 21.0 S / 67.3 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
120H: 2019/03/29 00 UTC: 22.8 S / 69.0 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
T=CI=4.5-
NNNN
SWI_20182019.png


JTWC則認定23/18Z近中心最大風速已達65kts(C1),24/00Z續升至75kts。
sh222019.19032306.gif sh222019.20190324012501.gif 20190323.2313.f16.x.ir1km_bw.22SJOANINHA.75kts-977mb-171S-616E.100pc.jpg 20190323.2313.f16.x.vis2km.22SJOANINHA.75kts-977mb-171S-616E.095pc.jpg


回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 868 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

jrchang5|2019-3-23 15:52 來自手機 | 顯示全部樓層
MFR 23/00Z升格為強烈熱帶風暴,06Z維持同一強度評價。
WTIO31 FMEE 230026
CMRS / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION
BULLETIN D'ANALYSE ET DE PREVISION CYCLONIQUE (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN)
0.A NUMERO DU BULLETIN : 7/13/20182019
1.A FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 13 (JOANINHA)
2.A POSITION A 0000 UTC LE 23/03/2019 :
DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 16.1 S / 62.2 E
(SEIZE DEGRES UN SUD ET SOIXANTE DEUX DEGRES DEUX EST)
DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 3 KT
3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK: 3.5/3.5/W 0.5/6 H
4.A PRESSION AU CENTRE: 988 HPA
5.A VENT MAX (MOYEN/10 MN): 50 KT
RAYON DES VENTS MAXIMAUX (RVM): 37 KM
6.A EXTENSION DES VENTS PAR QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 280 SE: 280 SO: 220 NO: 150
34 KT NE: 150 SE: 190 SO: 150 NO: 90
48 KT NE: 60 SE: 60 SO: 40 NO: 0
7.A COTE/DIAM PREMIERE ISOBARE FERMEE: 1009 HPA / 700 KM
8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DE LA CIRCULATION CYCLONIQUE: PROFONDE
1.B PREVISIONS:
12H: 23/03/2019 12 UTC: 16.8 S / 61.9 E, VENT MAX= 065 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
24H: 24/03/2019 00 UTC: 17.4 S / 61.7 E, VENT MAX= 075 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
36H: 24/03/2019 12 UTC: 17.9 S / 61.9 E, VENT MAX= 080 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
48H: 25/03/2019 00 UTC: 18.5 S / 62.3 E, VENT MAX= 085 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
60H: 25/03/2019 12 UTC: 19.1 S / 63.0 E, VENT MAX= 090 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
INTENSE
72H: 26/03/2019 00 UTC: 20.1 S / 64.2 E, VENT MAX= 085 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
2.B TENDANCE ULTERIEURE:
96H: 27/03/2019 00 UTC: 22.4 S / 66.7 E, VENT MAX= 055 KT, FORTE TEMPETE
TROPICALE
120H: 28/03/2019 00 UTC: 24.9 S / 68.0 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, TEMPETE TROPICALE
MODEREE
2.C COMMENTAIRES:
T=CI=3.5
WTIO31 FMEE 230625
CMRS / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION
BULLETIN D'ANALYSE ET DE PREVISION CYCLONIQUE (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN)
0.A NUMERO DU BULLETIN : 8/13/20182019
1.A FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 13 (JOANINHA)
2.A POSITION A 0600 UTC LE 23/03/2019 :
DANS UN RAYON DE 25 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 16.4 S / 62.0 E
(SEIZE DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET SOIXANTE DEUX DEGRES ZERO EST)
DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 3 KT
3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK: 3.5/3.5/D 0.5/12 H
4.A PRESSION AU CENTRE: 988 HPA
5.A VENT MAX (MOYEN/10 MN): 50 KT
RAYON DES VENTS MAXIMAUX (RVM): 37 KM
6.A EXTENSION DES VENTS PAR QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 320 SE: 320 SO: 250 NO: 170
34 KT NE: 190 SE: 230 SO: 190 NO: 90
48 KT NE: 60 SE: 80 SO: 80 NO: 50
7.A COTE/DIAM PREMIERE ISOBARE FERMEE: 1009 HPA / 700 KM
8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DE LA CIRCULATION CYCLONIQUE: PROFONDE
1.B PREVISIONS:
12H: 23/03/2019 18 UTC: 16.8 S / 61.6 E, VENT MAX= 065 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
24H: 24/03/2019 06 UTC: 17.1 S / 61.4 E, VENT MAX= 080 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
36H: 24/03/2019 18 UTC: 17.6 S / 61.5 E, VENT MAX= 085 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
48H: 25/03/2019 06 UTC: 18.3 S / 62.2 E, VENT MAX= 090 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
INTENSE
60H: 25/03/2019 18 UTC: 19.2 S / 63.2 E, VENT MAX= 090 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
INTENSE
72H: 26/03/2019 06 UTC: 20.1 S / 64.4 E, VENT MAX= 080 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
2.B TENDANCE ULTERIEURE:
96H: 27/03/2019 06 UTC: 22.1 S / 67.4 E, VENT MAX= 055 KT, FORTE TEMPETE
TROPICALE
120H: 28/03/2019 06 UTC: 23.8 S / 69.1 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, TEMPETE TROPICALE
MODEREE
2.C COMMENTAIRES:
T=CI=3.5+
SWI_20182019.png 20190323.0131.f17.x.ir1km_bw.22SJOANINHA.55kts-989mb-160S-623E.098pc.jpg



回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 1650 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2019-3-22 22:55 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2019-3-22 23:15 編輯

命名前後連兩報正報巔峰上望ITC
WTIO30 FMEE 220619
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 4/13/20182019
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13
2.A POSITION 2019/03/22 AT 0600 UTC:
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.6 S / 62.9 E
(FOURTEEN    DECIMAL SIX   DEGREES SOUTH AND
SIXTY TWO    DECIMAL NINE   DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 6 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 2.5/2.5/D 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): 74 KM
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 90 SE: 90 SW: 90 NW: 90
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2019/03/22 18 UTC: 16.2 S / 62.7 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
24H: 2019/03/23 06 UTC: 17.0 S / 62.1 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
36H: 2019/03/23 18 UTC: 17.5 S / 61.7 E, VENT MAX= 065 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
48H: 2019/03/24 06 UTC: 18.0 S / 61.7 E, VENT MAX= 080 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
60H: 2019/03/24 18 UTC: 18.4 S / 61.8 E, VENT MAX= 090 KT, INTENSE
TROPICAL CYCLONE
72H: 2019/03/25 06 UTC: 18.9 S / 62.1 E, VENT MAX= 090 KT, INTENSE
TROPICAL CYCLONE

2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
96H: 2019/03/26 06 UTC: 20.7 S / 64.4 E, VENT MAX= 075 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
120H: 2019/03/27 06 UTC: 22.4 S / 67.0 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
T=CI=2.5

WTIO30 FMEE 221214
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 5/13/20182019
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 13 (JOANINHA)
2.A POSITION 2019/03/22 AT 1200 UTC:
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.0 S / 62.8 E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND
SIXTY TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: SOUTH 3 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 2.5/2.5/D 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 996 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 35 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): 74 KM
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 280 SE: 280 SW: 220 NW: 90
34 KT NE: 130 SE: 150 SW: NW:
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2019/03/23 00 UTC: 16.0 S / 62.2 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
24H: 2019/03/23 12 UTC: 17.0 S / 61.6 E, VENT MAX= 055 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
36H: 2019/03/24 00 UTC: 17.7 S / 61.6 E, VENT MAX= 065 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
48H: 2019/03/24 12 UTC: 18.3 S / 61.9 E, VENT MAX= 075 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
60H: 2019/03/25 00 UTC: 18.7 S / 62.2 E, VENT MAX= 085 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
72H: 2019/03/25 12 UTC: 19.3 S / 63.0 E, VENT MAX= 090 KT, INTENSE
TROPICAL CYCLONE

2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
96H: 2019/03/26 12 UTC: 21.2 S / 65.4 E, VENT MAX= 075 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
120H: 2019/03/27 12 UTC: 22.7 S / 67.5 E, VENT MAX= 055 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
T=CI=2.5+

(命名前終報)
79_104649_e5839729a1f8c84.png
(命名後首報)
SWI_20182019.png


回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 1650 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2019-3-22 19:16 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2019-3-22 22:29 編輯

MFR命名Joaninha
AWIO21 FMEE 221001 CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX / CMRS DE LA REUNION / METEO-FRANCE
BULLETIN SUR L'ACTIVITE CYCLONIQUE ET LES CONDITIONS METEOROLOGIQUES TROPICALES SUR LE SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN
LE 22/03/2019 A 1200 UTC
PARTIE 1: AVIS SPECIAUX EN COURS: Bulletins WTIO21 et WTIO31 FMEE n°004/13 émis à 06UTC sur la Tempête Tropicale Modérée n°13 JOANINHA.
PARTIE 2 : ACTIVITE DANS LE DOMAINE TROPICAL: Le flux de mousson est bien établi des cotes africaines à 65°E où il alimente la Tempête Tropicale Modérée Joaninha. A l'Est de 65E, le flux trans-équatorial est plus faible. La convection profonde est essentiellement localisée à proximité de Joahninha et dans son alimentation equatoriale.
Tempête Tropicale Modérée Joaninha :
Position à 0900 TU : 14.8S/62.8E
Vents Max sur 10mn : 35 kt
Pression minimale : 996 hPa
Déplacement :Sud 3 kt
Pour plus d'informations, se référer aux bulletins techniques WTIO21 et WTIO31 qui seront émis à 12UTC et suivants.
Il n'y a pas de risque de formation d'une autre tempête tropicale au cours des 5 prochains jours.
20190322.1300.msg1.x.vis1km_high.22STWENTYTWO.40kts-993mb-150S-624E.100pc.jpg 20190322.1318.f18.91pct.22S.JOANINHA.40kts.993mb.15S.62.4E.090pc.jpg
20190322.1318.f18.91h.22S.JOANINHA.40kts.993mb.15S.62.4E.090pc.jpg

回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 3279 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

t02436|2019-3-22 10:02 | 顯示全部樓層
MFR 00Z升格熱帶低壓
ZCZC 423
WTIO30 FMEE 220045 RRA
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 3/13/20182019
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13
2.A POSITION 2019/03/22 AT 0000 UTC:
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.2 S / 62.4 E
(FOURTEEN    DECIMAL TWO   DEGREES SOUTH AND
SIXTY TWO    DECIMAL FOUR   DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 6 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 2.5/2.5/D 1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): NIL
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 90 SE:  SW:  NW: 90
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1007 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2019/03/22 12 UTC: 15.3 S / 62.0 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
24H: 2019/03/23 00 UTC: 16.4 S / 61.5 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
36H: 2019/03/23 12 UTC: 17.5 S / 60.9 E, VENT MAX= 055 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
48H: 2019/03/24 00 UTC: 18.0 S / 60.7 E, VENT MAX= 065 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
60H: 2019/03/24 12 UTC: 18.4 S / 60.8 E, VENT MAX= 075 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
72H: 2019/03/25 00 UTC: 19.1 S / 61.3 E, VENT MAX= 085 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE

2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
96H: 2019/03/26 00 UTC: 20.7 S / 63.1 E, VENT MAX= 070 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
120H: 2019/03/27 00 UTC: 22.4 S / 65.0 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
T=CI=2.5-.
NNNN

SWI_20182019.png

JTWC升格22S,上望105節。
sh222019.20190322013721.gif

20190322.0100.msg-4.ircolor.22S.TWENTYTWO.35kts.1000mb.14.5S.62.5E.100pc.jpg
回復

使用道具 舉報

12下一頁
快速回覆
您需要登錄後才可以回帖 登錄 | 立即加入

本版積分規則

本平台僅供學術討論之用,預報應以氣象局為準

威普網站虛擬主機贊助公司

臺灣第一個天氣類型社群平台 即時天氣資訊、精準颱風動態

線上客服
FB傳送訊息
廣告行銷
精準行銷 物超所值
官方粉專
發佈 快速回復 返回頂部 返回列表