強度繼26/12Z達到巔峰後，於27/18Z至28/00Z又攀上二巔(MFR：939hpa、100kts；JTWC：941hpa、115kts)。
MFR：

WTIO31 FMEE 261322
CMRS / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION
BULLETIN D'ANALYSE ET DE PREVISION CYCLONIQUE (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN)
0.A NUMERO DU BULLETIN : 21/13/20182019
1.A CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE 13 (JOANINHA)
2.A POSITION A 1200 UTC LE 26/03/2019 :
DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 19.5 S / 64.8 E
(DIX-NEUF DEGRES CINQ SUD ET SOIXANTE QUATRE DEGRES HUIT EST)
DEPLACEMENT: EST-SUD-EST 6 KT
3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK: 6.0/6.0/D 0.5/12 H
4.A PRESSION AU CENTRE: 942 HPA
5.A VENT MAX (MOYEN/10 MN): 100 KT
RAYON DES VENTS MAXIMAUX (RVM): 37 KM
6.A EXTENSION DES VENTS PAR QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 330 SE: 370 SO: 260 NO: 220
34 KT NE: 220 SE: 310 SO: 220 NO: 190
48 KT NE: 130 SE: 200 SO: 130 NO: 130
64 KT NE: 90 SE: 90 SO: 90 NO: 90
7.A COTE/DIAM PREMIERE ISOBARE FERMEE: 1008 HPA / 700 KM
8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DE LA CIRCULATION CYCLONIQUE: PROFONDE
1.B PREVISIONS:
12H: 27/03/2019 00 UTC: 20.2 S / 65.6 E, VENT MAX= 105 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
INTENSE
24H: 27/03/2019 12 UTC: 20.6 S / 66.2 E, VENT MAX= 095 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
INTENSE
36H: 28/03/2019 00 UTC: 21.1 S / 66.7 E, VENT MAX= 085 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
INTENSE
48H: 28/03/2019 12 UTC: 21.8 S / 67.0 E, VENT MAX= 075 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
INTENSE
60H: 29/03/2019 00 UTC: 22.8 S / 67.4 E, VENT MAX= 065 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
72H: 29/03/2019 12 UTC: 24.0 S / 67.9 E, VENT MAX= 055 KT, FORTE TEMPETE
TROPICALE
2.B TENDANCE ULTERIEURE:
96H: 30/03/2019 12 UTC: 26.7 S / 69.1 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, DEPRESSION
POST-TROPICALE
120H: 31/03/2019 12 UTC: 28.3 S / 68.6 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, DEPRESSION
POST-TROPICALE
2.C COMMENTAIRES:
T=CI=6.0-

WTIO31 FMEE 280023

CMRS / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION
BULLETIN D'ANALYSE ET DE PREVISION CYCLONIQUE (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN)
0.A NUMERO DU BULLETIN : 27/13/20182019
1.A CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE 13 (JOANINHA)
2.A POSITION A 0000 UTC LE 28/03/2019 :
DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 20.7 S / 67.4 E
(VINGT DEGRES SEPT SUD ET SOIXANTE SEPT DEGRES QUATRE EST)
DEPLACEMENT: SUD-EST 3 KT
3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK: 6.0/6.0/S 0.5/0 H
4.A PRESSION AU CENTRE: 939 HPA
5.A VENT MAX (MOYEN/10 MN): 100 KT
RAYON DES VENTS MAXIMAUX (RVM): 37 KM
6.A EXTENSION DES VENTS PAR QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 310 SE: 440 SO: 370 NO: 240
34 KT NE: 220 SE: 280 SO: 220 NO: 190
48 KT NE: 140 SE: 190 SO: 140 NO: 140
64 KT NE: 90 SE: 110 SO: 90 NO: 90
7.A COTE/DIAM PREMIERE ISOBARE FERMEE: 1009 HPA / 900 KM
8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DE LA CIRCULATION CYCLONIQUE: PROFONDE
1.B PREVISIONS:
12H: 28/03/2019 12 UTC: 21.4 S / 67.5 E, VENT MAX= 095 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
INTENSE
24H: 29/03/2019 00 UTC: 22.1 S / 67.6 E, VENT MAX= 085 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
36H: 29/03/2019 12 UTC: 23.0 S / 67.9 E, VENT MAX= 075 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
48H: 30/03/2019 00 UTC: 24.1 S / 68.1 E, VENT MAX= 065 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
60H: 30/03/2019 12 UTC: 25.2 S / 68.0 E, VENT MAX= 055 KT, FORTE TEMPETE
TROPICALE
72H: 31/03/2019 00 UTC: 26.6 S / 67.8 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, DEPRESSION
POST-TROPICALE
2.B TENDANCE ULTERIEURE:
96H: 01/04/2019 00 UTC: 31.1 S / 66.8 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, DEPRESSION
POST-TROPICALE
120H: 02/04/2019 00 UTC: 34.5 S / 65.1 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, DEPRESSION
POST-TROPICALE
2.C COMMENTAIRES:
T=CI=6.0-

JTWC：

MFR判定24/00Z升格為熱帶氣旋，近中心最大風速達65kts。

ZCZC 309
WTIO30 FMEE 240012 RRA
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 11/13/20182019
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 13 (JOANINHA)
2.A POSITION 2019/03/24 AT 0000 UTC:
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.0 S / 61.8 E
(SEVENTEEN    DECIMAL ZERO   DEGREES SOUTH AND
SIXTY ONE    DECIMAL EIGHT   DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: SOUTH 2 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 4.5/4.5/D 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 977 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 65 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): 56 KM
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 330 SE: 370 SW: 250 NW: 130
34 KT NE: 190 SE: 220 SW: 190 NW: 90
48 KT NE: 120 SE: 130 SW: 120 NW: 80
64 KT NE: 60 SE: 60 SW: 60 NW: 60
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1100 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2019/03/24 12 UTC: 17.4 S / 61.7 E, VENT MAX= 075 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
24H: 2019/03/25 00 UTC: 17.8 S / 61.7 E, VENT MAX= 085 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
36H: 2019/03/25 12 UTC: 18.3 S / 62.0 E, VENT MAX= 085 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
48H: 2019/03/26 00 UTC: 19.1 S / 62.7 E, VENT MAX= 080 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
60H: 2019/03/26 12 UTC: 19.8 S / 63.8 E, VENT MAX= 070 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
72H: 2019/03/27 00 UTC: 20.3 S / 65.0 E, VENT MAX= 060 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
96H: 2019/03/28 00 UTC: 21.0 S / 67.3 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
120H: 2019/03/29 00 UTC: 22.8 S / 69.0 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
T=CI=4.5-
NNNN

JTWC則認定23/18Z近中心最大風速已達65kts(C1)，24/00Z續升至75kts。

MFR 23/00Z升格為強烈熱帶風暴，06Z維持同一強度評價。

WTIO31 FMEE 230026
CMRS / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION
BULLETIN D'ANALYSE ET DE PREVISION CYCLONIQUE (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN)
0.A NUMERO DU BULLETIN : 7/13/20182019
1.A FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 13 (JOANINHA)
2.A POSITION A 0000 UTC LE 23/03/2019 :
DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 16.1 S / 62.2 E
(SEIZE DEGRES UN SUD ET SOIXANTE DEUX DEGRES DEUX EST)
DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 3 KT
3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK: 3.5/3.5/W 0.5/6 H
4.A PRESSION AU CENTRE: 988 HPA
5.A VENT MAX (MOYEN/10 MN): 50 KT
RAYON DES VENTS MAXIMAUX (RVM): 37 KM
6.A EXTENSION DES VENTS PAR QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 280 SE: 280 SO: 220 NO: 150
34 KT NE: 150 SE: 190 SO: 150 NO: 90
48 KT NE: 60 SE: 60 SO: 40 NO: 0
7.A COTE/DIAM PREMIERE ISOBARE FERMEE: 1009 HPA / 700 KM
8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DE LA CIRCULATION CYCLONIQUE: PROFONDE
1.B PREVISIONS:
12H: 23/03/2019 12 UTC: 16.8 S / 61.9 E, VENT MAX= 065 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
24H: 24/03/2019 00 UTC: 17.4 S / 61.7 E, VENT MAX= 075 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
36H: 24/03/2019 12 UTC: 17.9 S / 61.9 E, VENT MAX= 080 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
48H: 25/03/2019 00 UTC: 18.5 S / 62.3 E, VENT MAX= 085 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
60H: 25/03/2019 12 UTC: 19.1 S / 63.0 E, VENT MAX= 090 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
INTENSE
72H: 26/03/2019 00 UTC: 20.1 S / 64.2 E, VENT MAX= 085 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
2.B TENDANCE ULTERIEURE:
96H: 27/03/2019 00 UTC: 22.4 S / 66.7 E, VENT MAX= 055 KT, FORTE TEMPETE
TROPICALE
120H: 28/03/2019 00 UTC: 24.9 S / 68.0 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, TEMPETE TROPICALE
MODEREE
2.C COMMENTAIRES:
T=CI=3.5

WTIO31 FMEE 230625
CMRS / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION
BULLETIN D'ANALYSE ET DE PREVISION CYCLONIQUE (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN)
0.A NUMERO DU BULLETIN : 8/13/20182019
1.A FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 13 (JOANINHA)
2.A POSITION A 0600 UTC LE 23/03/2019 :
DANS UN RAYON DE 25 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 16.4 S / 62.0 E
(SEIZE DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET SOIXANTE DEUX DEGRES ZERO EST)
DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 3 KT
3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK: 3.5/3.5/D 0.5/12 H
4.A PRESSION AU CENTRE: 988 HPA
5.A VENT MAX (MOYEN/10 MN): 50 KT
RAYON DES VENTS MAXIMAUX (RVM): 37 KM
6.A EXTENSION DES VENTS PAR QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 320 SE: 320 SO: 250 NO: 170
34 KT NE: 190 SE: 230 SO: 190 NO: 90
48 KT NE: 60 SE: 80 SO: 80 NO: 50
7.A COTE/DIAM PREMIERE ISOBARE FERMEE: 1009 HPA / 700 KM
8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DE LA CIRCULATION CYCLONIQUE: PROFONDE
1.B PREVISIONS:
12H: 23/03/2019 18 UTC: 16.8 S / 61.6 E, VENT MAX= 065 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
24H: 24/03/2019 06 UTC: 17.1 S / 61.4 E, VENT MAX= 080 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
36H: 24/03/2019 18 UTC: 17.6 S / 61.5 E, VENT MAX= 085 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
48H: 25/03/2019 06 UTC: 18.3 S / 62.2 E, VENT MAX= 090 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
INTENSE
60H: 25/03/2019 18 UTC: 19.2 S / 63.2 E, VENT MAX= 090 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
INTENSE
72H: 26/03/2019 06 UTC: 20.1 S / 64.4 E, VENT MAX= 080 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL
2.B TENDANCE ULTERIEURE:
96H: 27/03/2019 06 UTC: 22.1 S / 67.4 E, VENT MAX= 055 KT, FORTE TEMPETE
TROPICALE
120H: 28/03/2019 06 UTC: 23.8 S / 69.1 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, TEMPETE TROPICALE
MODEREE
2.C COMMENTAIRES:
T=CI=3.5+

MFR 00Z升格熱帶低壓

ZCZC 423
WTIO30 FMEE 220045 RRA
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 3/13/20182019
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13
2.A POSITION 2019/03/22 AT 0000 UTC:
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.2 S / 62.4 E
(FOURTEEN    DECIMAL TWO   DEGREES SOUTH AND
SIXTY TWO    DECIMAL FOUR   DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 6 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 2.5/2.5/D 1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): NIL
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 90 SE:  SW:  NW: 90
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1007 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2019/03/22 12 UTC: 15.3 S / 62.0 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
24H: 2019/03/23 00 UTC: 16.4 S / 61.5 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
36H: 2019/03/23 12 UTC: 17.5 S / 60.9 E, VENT MAX= 055 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
48H: 2019/03/24 00 UTC: 18.0 S / 60.7 E, VENT MAX= 065 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
60H: 2019/03/24 12 UTC: 18.4 S / 60.8 E, VENT MAX= 075 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
72H: 2019/03/25 00 UTC: 19.1 S / 61.3 E, VENT MAX= 085 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
96H: 2019/03/26 00 UTC: 20.7 S / 63.1 E, VENT MAX= 070 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE
120H: 2019/03/27 00 UTC: 22.4 S / 65.0 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
T=CI=2.5-.
NNNN

JTWC升格22S，上望105節。